I was right, and I was wrong. I predicted President Obama’s re-election in July. But…
I was wrong. The day before the election I predicted he’d get a five percent margin on the popular vote. He didn’t, he only got two percent.
This was an election about Enlightened Self-Interest. Two candidates offered two different visions.
- LGBT voters could choose between a candidate that offered them right, and a candidate who would deny them rights.
- Woman voters could choose between a candidate that offered them right, and a candidate who would deny them rights.
- Immigrant voters could choose between a candidate that offered them right, and a candidate who would deny their families rights.
- Poor and Middle Class voters could choose between vapor and vapor.
Agreed, LGBT and Immigrant voters are minorities, but LGBT voters tend to be politically active, and immigrant voters became politically active. Enlightened Self-Interest meant that they had to vote.
Woman voters also showed up to vote, and killed the chances of a couple of the Tea Party members with foot in mouth disease.
As to the poor and the middle class, neither party offered anything for them. This may explain the drop in white voter numbers, there was nothing to choose from between the two candidates. Enlightened Self Interest only works if the candidates offer compelling choices. Neither Obama or Romney did that. If Obama had have, I might have been right on my five percent prediction. If Romney had have, he might have won. Might have. The American Electoral College System could have still put the election in Obama’s court with California’s 55 Electoral College Votes, which would have had Romney imitating Al Gore from the 2000 Election Cycle.
Right now Obama has a solid mandate, far more solid than George W. Bush had in 2000. While he faces a divided legislature, a number of Republicans may be willing to work across the aisle to get things done.
Meanwhile the electorate can breath a sigh of relief. They won’t have to put up with any election ads for another eighteen months.
Thursday November 8, 2012
PS: Poor Kleopatra fell through the ice (yes, we have ice and snow here, and have had for a couple of weeks), and managed to hurt her left hind leg. It’s healing, but she has to be lifted onto the couch, she can’t jump. The poor little thing is so sad…
There’s nothing sadder than a sad beagle. I’m afraid I’m spoiling her relentlessly.